πŸ“Š
AlphaAgents
πŸ€– AgentsUpdated 8:51:39 PM
← Back to Rankings

UPS(UPS)

$117.08+0.68%
HOLD
Score: 3/5 β€’ Confidence: 64%
πŸ€–

AI Summary

UPS (UPS) is currently trading at $117.08, up 0.68% in the last 24 hours. We maintain a HOLD rating pending clearer directional signals.

πŸ“ˆ

Price

$117.08
+0.68% today
πŸ“Š

Volume

4.9M
Daily volume
πŸ’°

P/E Ratio

18.0
Valuation
πŸ‘”

Insider

Neutral
90-day sentiment
πŸ“ˆ

Price Chart

PriceVolume
Hover for OHLCV details
πŸ“ˆ

Price Data

Current Price$117.08
24h Change+0.68%
Volume4.90M
πŸ’°

Fundamentals

P/E Ratio (TTM)18.01
Forward P/E16.56
Forward EPS(2026)$7.07+9%
Profit Margin6.1%
ROE34.8%
Debt/Equity1.85
πŸ“Š

Technical Analysis Summary

27 indicators analyzed

BUY
16
Buy Signals
4
Sell Signals
7
Neutral
+0.53
Score
Strong SellNeutralStrong Buy
πŸ“ˆ Bullish Signals
MACDIchimokuSMA CrossSupertrendOBV
πŸ“‰ Bearish Signals
RSIADXMFICCI
πŸ€– AI Insight

Technical picture is moderately bullish with 16 buy signals vs 4 sell signals. Trend favors long positions with proper risk management.

πŸ“Š

Technical Indicators

Momentum & trend signals

Strong Bullish
RSI (14-day)
72.8Overbought
Oversold
Neutral
Overbought
β–Ό
0305070100
vs 50-Day SMA↑ Above
$103.31+13.8%
vs 200-Day SMA
N/A
πŸ“ˆ
Trend Signal
Based on SMA crossovers
Bullish

πŸ’‘ Technical indicators are tools, not guarantees. Always combine with fundamental analysis.

πŸ“Š

MACD

(12, 26, 9)
Buy
MACD Line3.269
Signal Line2.410
Histogram
πŸ“ˆ0.859
BearishBullish
Trend
πŸ“ˆ Bullish
Momentum
Strengthening πŸ“ˆ
βœ… MACD line above signal line with positive momentum β€” bullish signal
πŸ“Š

Bollinger Bands

Volatility & breakout detection

Breakout Up
Upper: $116.47
SMA20: $109.05
Lower: $101.63
$117.62
Below Lower (0%)%B: 107.7%Above Upper (100%)
13.6%
Bandwidth
Normal
+-1.0%
To Upper
Near
+13.6%
To Lower
Safe
Above Upper
Position
In Band
πŸ“Š

Stochastic Oscillator

Momentum indicator (14,3,3)

βšͺ Hold
99.9
%K (Fast)
98.5
%D (Slow)
Overbought
Overbought
↗️ Rising
Direction
20
80
0 (Oversold)50100 (Overbought)
%K (Fast: 99.9)
%D (Slow: 98.5)

πŸ“Š Neutral: UPS stochastic is in the middle range (99.9). Wait for %K to enter overbought (80+) or oversold (20-) zones for clearer signals.

πŸ“

Average True Range (ATR)

Moderate Volatility
14-Day ATR
$2.84
Per day range
ATR %
2.42%
Of stock price
2x ATR Stop
$111.94
-4.8% from price
Risk/Share
$5.68
For position sizing
Volatility Scale➑️ Stable
0%2%4%6%10%+
Last 5 Days True Range
Day 1
$4.45
Day 2
$4.03
Day 3
$5.08
Day 4
$1.84
Day 5
$1.81

πŸ“Œ Normal volatility conditions - standard position sizing appropriate.

πŸ“Š

On-Balance Volume (OBV)

Volume-based momentum indicator

πŸ“ˆ Accumulation
63.81M
Current OBV
+5.18M
Daily Change
↑ Bullish
10-Day Trend
Strong
Volume Momentum
OBV vs 20-Day SMA
Above(33.24M avg)
10-Day OBV (purple) vs Price (cyan)
10 days agoToday

πŸ“ˆ Volume confirms uptrend: OBV rising above its average suggests institutional accumulation. Bullish signal for trend continuation.

πŸ“Š

Pivot Points

Key Support & Resistance Levels

BullishNormal Range
Price Position in Pivot Range$117.6
R3
$118.93
R2
$117.80
R1
$117.17
PP
$116.04
S1
$115.41
S2
$114.28
S3
$113.65
● $117.6
πŸ“‰Nearest Support
$116.04
PP β€’ 1.33% below
πŸ“ˆNearest Resistance
$117.8
R2 β€’ 0.17% above

All Pivot Levels

Resistance 3
$118.93
Resistance 2
$117.8
Resistance 1
$117.17
Pivot Point
$116.04
Support 1
$115.41
Support 2
$114.28
Support 3
$113.65
Position
Above R1
Calculated from Previous Day
High: $116.66Low: $114.9Close: $116.55
πŸ’‘

Price is trading above the pivot point at $116.04, indicating bullish bias. Watch R1 ($117.17) as the next target.

πŸ“

Fibonacci Retracement

πŸ“ˆ UptrendNeutral
52W Low: $82.0052W High: $123.70
$117.60
Between 0% and 23.6%
Nearest Support
$113.86
23.6% (3.2% away)
Nearest Resistance
$123.70
0% (5.2% away)
LevelPriceTypeDistance
0%$123.70Resistance-5.2%
23.6%$113.86Support+3.2%
38.2%$107.77Support+8.4%
50%✦$102.85Support+12.5%
61.8%✦$97.93Support+16.7%
78.6%$90.92Support+22.7%
100%$82.00Support+30.3%
πŸ’‘ Trading Insight
Price is between Fibonacci levels. The nearest support is at $113.86 and resistance at $123.70.
βš–οΈ

VWAP (Volume Weighted Avg Price)

Price Above VWAP
VWAP
$109.72
Vol-weighted avg
Current Price
$117.06
+6.69% vs VWAP
Signal
πŸ“ˆ Bullish
Based on VWAP
Volume
πŸ“Š Normal
0.6x avg
Price Position vs VWAP Bands
-2Οƒ ($101.18)VWAP+2Οƒ ($118.26)
$117.06
OversoldNormal RangeOverbought
Upper +2Οƒ
$118.26
Upper +1Οƒ
$113.99
Lower -1Οƒ
$105.45
Lower -2Οƒ
$101.18
πŸ“ˆ Extended above VWAP - potential mean reversion opportunity for shorts, or breakout continuation.
πŸ“ˆ

Parabolic SAR

Stop and Reverse Indicator

Uptrend
SAR Level$104.83
Current Price$117.06
Distance to SAR+10.44%
Hold
Trend intact - trail stops
Moderate
Trend Strength
3d
Trend Duration
0.06
Accel. Factor
$117.54
Extreme Point
SAR vs Price (Last 10 Days)
$118.13
$103.07
SAR (Uptrend)SAR (Downtrend)Close Price
πŸ›‘οΈTrailing Stop
Place stop-loss at SAR ($104.83). Move up as SAR rises.
Risk: 10.4% from current price
πŸ’‘

πŸ“ˆ Uptrend intact (3 days). SAR support at $104.83. Trail stops below SAR.

πŸ“Š

Williams %R

NeutralOverbought
-0.1
Williams %R (14-day)
-100-80-50-200
OversoldNeutralOverbought
Previous %R-2.9
Change+2.7
Trend➑️ Flat
Signal Strength
45%
$103.59
14-Day Low
$117.62
Current Price
$117.64
14-Day High
πŸ’‘

πŸ“ˆ OVERBOUGHT: Williams %R at -0.1 indicates the stock is trading near its 14-day high. Strong momentum continues - may stay overbought in uptrends.

πŸ“Š CCI (Commodity Channel Index)

Momentum oscillator measuring price deviation

Strong Sell

Strength: 85%

CCI Value
+212.7β†˜οΈ
-200-1000+100+200
Extreme Overboughtβ†˜οΈ Falling

Previous CCI

+254.7

Typical Price

$117.02

SMA (20)

$109.07

Mean Deviation

$2.49

πŸ”₯ EXTREME OVERBOUGHT: CCI at 212.7 (above +200) - extraordinary bullish momentum! CAUTION: CCI starting to decline - potential reversal imminent.

20-Day CCI History

+100
0
-100
Signal Strength85%

🎯Aroon Indicator(25-period)

πŸ”₯ New UptrendStrong Buy
Aroon Up
70
30
100
πŸ“ˆ New 25-day high TODAY!
Aroon Down
70
30
4
24 day(s) since low
Aroon Oscillator+96.0
-100+100
BearishNeutralBullish
Trend
Strong Uptrend
25-Day High
$117.64
25-Day Low
$98.41
Signal Strength95%
πŸ’‘AI Insight

πŸš€ NEW UPTREND! Aroon Up hit 100 - price just made a new 25-day high! This is the strongest Aroon buy signal. The trend is young and has momentum. Consider entering long positions. Oscillator at 96.0 shows bullish bias.

πŸ“Š Rate of Change (ROC)Buy

Bullish
9-Day ROC
+9.96%
12-Day ROC
+8.43%
25-Day ROC
+18.58%
-30%0%+30%
Strong BearishNeutralStrong Bullish
ROC Trend
πŸ“ˆ Rising
Zero Crossover
β€”
Signal Strength55%
Current Price
$117.62
12-Day Change
+$9.14
πŸ“ˆ POSITIVE MOMENTUM: ROC at 8.43% - price is moderately higher than 12 days ago. Compare timeframes - 9-day: 9.96%, 25-day: 18.58%. Short-term momentum accelerating.
🎯

Ultimate Oscillator

Multi-timeframe momentum (7, 14, 28)

Buy
65.5
UO Value (0-100)
0 (Oversold)305070100 (Overbought)
neutral
Zone
πŸ“ˆ rising
Trend
55%
Signal Strength
None
Divergence
Timeframe Contributions (Weighted: 4-2-1)
7-Period
74%(Γ—4)
14-Period
53%(Γ—2)
28-Period
56%(Γ—1)
Today's Buying Pressure
$1.79
Close - min(Low, Prev Close)
Today's True Range
$1.81
max(H,PC) - min(L,PC)
πŸ’‘
Neutral Zone: UO at 65 is in the neutral zone (30-70). Wait for a move into extreme zones (below 30 or above 70) for clearer signals. The multi-timeframe approach reduces false signals.
πŸ“Š

Keltner Channels

ATR-based volatility bands

Buy
Lower: $103.27Middle (EMA): $109.32Upper: $115.36
Oversold
Overbought
$117.60
Above Upper119% of channel
Channel Width
11.1%
ATR (10)
$3.02
2.6% of price
Trend
Strong Uptrend
Signal Strength
70%
Channel Levels
Upper Band$115.36-1.9% away
Middle (EMA 20)$109.32+7.6%
Lower Band$103.2712.2% away
πŸ€– Trading Insight

πŸ“ˆ EXTENDED ABOVE CHANNEL: Price 117.60 is riding above the upper band (115.36). Strong trend - price can stay extended. Consider trailing stops rather than fading.

πŸ“Š

TTM Squeeze

John Carter's Volatility Breakout

Neutral
NO SQUEEZE
Bands expanded - no compression detected
Signal Strength
50%
Momentum Oscillator
+3.24
Bearish0Bullish
β†˜οΈ FallingModerate Momentum
30-Day Squeeze History
30 days ago
Squeeze ON Squeeze OFF
Today
Bollinger Bands (20, 2)
Upper:$116.47
Lower:$101.63
Width:12.6%
Keltner Channels (20, 1.5)
Upper:$113.84
Lower:$104.78
Width:7.7%
Band Position (Squeeze Detection)
KCBB Outside KC β†’ No SqueezeBB
πŸ€–
AI Trading Insight

⚠️ NO SQUEEZE - MOMENTUM WEAKENING: No squeeze currently. Momentum is positive but falling (3.24) - bullish move may be exhausting. Watch for potential reversal or consolidation.

πŸ‚πŸ»

Elder Ray (Bull/Bear Power)

Dr. Alexander Elder's Power Index

Strong Buy
πŸ‚ Bull PowerFlat
+6.57
High (117.64) - EMA (111.07)
🐻 Bear PowerFalling
+4.75
Low (115.83) - EMA (111.07)
$111.07
13-Day EMA
πŸ“ˆ Uptrend
Price vs EMA
80%
Signal Strength
14-Day Bull/Bear Power History
2026-01-20Top=Bull, Bottom=Bear2026-02-06
πŸ€– Trading Insight

πŸš€ Strong bullish pressure - both bulls and bears above their normal ranges, bulls in control.

⚑

Force Index

Dr. Alexander Elder's Volume-Price Momentum

Buy
⚑ 2-EMA (Short)Falling
+8.07M
Day Trading Signal
πŸ“Š 13-EMA (Medium)Flat
+10.28M
Swing Trading Signal
5.44M
Raw Force
+0.90%
Price Ξ”
5.18M
Volume
55%
Strength
Volume vs Average:➑️ Normal
20-Day Force Index History
0
2026-01-09Bars=2-EMA, Line=13-EMA2026-02-06
πŸ€– Trading Insight

πŸ“Š Force Index shows bulls with slight edge. Short-term: 8.07M, Medium-term: 10.28M. Volume is normal.

🐊

Williams Alligator

Trend Direction & Strength

Strong Buy
🍽️
Eating
Lines spread - Strong trend
Bullish
+3.14%
Total Spread
+1.770
Lips-Teeth
+1.530
Teeth-Jaw
🟒 Lips (5)
$108.31
↑ Rising
πŸ”΄ Teeth (8)
$106.54
β†’ Flat
πŸ”΅ Jaw (13)
$105.01
↑ Rising
Price vs AlligatorAbove
Price above all lines = Bullish momentum
Signal Strength85%
20-Day Alligator Chart
LipsTeethJawPrice
πŸ€– AI Insight

🍽️ Alligator is EATING - strong bullish trend in progress! Lines properly ordered (Lips 108.31 > Teeth 106.54 > Jaw 105.01). Spread at 3.14%. Ride the trend with trailing stops!

πŸ“Š

Donchian Channels

Richard Donchian's Breakout System (20-period)

Buy
πŸš€Bullish Breakout!Moderate Strength

Price broke above the 20-day high of $117.64

20-Day LowMiddle20-Day High
$103.59$110.61$117.64
Price Position: Near Upper (100%)
Current Price
$117.60
Channel Width
12.7%
Trend
Strong Uptrend
Signal Strength
75%
20-Day HighNEW!
$117.64
Today!
20-Day Low
$103.59
7 days ago
Channel Volatility:➑️ Stable
πŸ€– AI Insight

πŸš€ BULLISH BREAKOUT! Price $117.60 broke above the 20-day high of $116.93. Moderate breakout strength. Donchian breakouts often signal the start of new trends - consider long entries with stops below the middle band ($110.61).

🎯

Supertrend

ATR-Based Trend Following

Uptrend
Supertrend Level$102.11
Current Price$117.60
Distance+15.17%
Strong Buy
Price above Supertrend - trail stops below
Strong
Trend Strength
31d
Trend Duration
$3.02
ATR (10-day)
3Γ—
ATR Multiplier
Volatility (ATR%)2.57%
Supertrend Slope→ Flat
Supertrend vs Price (Last 15 Days)
$109.85
$96.50
Supertrend (Up)Supertrend (Down)Price
Current Bands
Upper Band (Resistance)$111.44
Lower Band (Support)$102.11
Active: Lower Band as support at $102.11
Signal Strength
Weak75%Strong
πŸ’‘

πŸ“ˆ UPTREND active for 31 days. Price $117.60 is 15.2% above Supertrend $102.11. Strong trend strength. The Supertrend line serves as trailing support - consider taking partial profits.

🌊

Choppiness Index

Trend vs Range Detection (14-period)

Neutral
⏳
Neutral(10 days)
Wait
πŸ“ˆ Trending⏳ TransitionalπŸ“Š Choppy
45
0-38.238.2-61.861.8-100
Choppiness Index
45.0-2.0 β†˜οΈ
Transitional
14-Day Price Range
11.9%
$103.59 - $117.64
ATR (14)
$3.29
Trend
Falling β†˜οΈ
Signal Strength
50%
πŸ€–

⏳ TRANSITIONAL MARKET (CHOP: 45.0). The market is between trending and ranging. Choppiness is decreasing (2.0 points). πŸ‘€ Choppiness decreasing - a new trend may be forming. Watch for breakouts. Trading advice: WAIT for clearer signals or use smaller position sizes.

βš–οΈ

Valuation Metrics

Relative value indicators

πŸ“Š Comparables
18.0x
P/E
Fair
6.26x
P/B
Premium
1.11x
P/S
Value
10.5x
EV/EBITDA
Fair
1.36x
EV/Rev
Value
Enterprise Value$122B

πŸ’‘ PEG < 1 suggests undervalued relative to growth β€’ EV/EBITDA accounts for debt

πŸ“…

Historical Returns

Price performance across timeframes

πŸ“Š Performance
1W
+10.7%
1 Week
1M
+11.6%
1 Month
3M
+22.6%
3 Months
6M
+36.3%
6 Months
YTD
+16.4%
Year to Date
1Y
+3.6%
1 Year
1W
+10.7%
1M
+11.6%
3M
+22.6%
6M
+36.3%
YTD
+16.4%
1Y
+3.6%
Best Period6 Months: +36.3%
Worst Period1 Year: 3.6%

πŸ“ˆ Insight: Strong recent momentum with positive year-to-date performance. Consider trailing stop to protect gains.

πŸ“…

Seasonality Analysis

πŸ“Š

Market Comparison

Performance vs S&P 500

πŸ“ˆ Alpha
πŸš€ Beating Market
vs S&P 500
+12.2%
Avg Alpha
5/6
Periods Beating
+27.4%
Best (6M)
1 Week+10.7% alpha
UPS+10.7%
S&P 500+0.0%
1 Month+11.2% alpha
UPS+11.6%
S&P 500+0.4%
3 Months+19.4% alpha
UPS+22.6%
S&P 500+3.1%
6 Months+27.4% alpha
UPS+36.3%
S&P 500+8.8%
πŸ’‘
UPS has outperformed the S&P 500 by an average of +12.2% across measured periods. Strong relative performance suggests market leadership.
πŸ’°

Dividend History

Past payments & growth

Quarterly
$6.56
TTM Dividend
+12.6%
5Y CAGR
5 yrs
Pay Streak
20
Payments (5Y)
Payment History
OldestMost Recent β†’
Ex-DateAmount
Nov 17, 2025Latest$1.6400
Aug 18, 2025$1.6400
May 19, 2025$1.6400
Feb 18, 2025$1.6400
Nov 18, 2024$1.6300
Aug 19, 2024$1.6300
May 10, 2024$1.6300
Feb 16, 2024$1.6300
πŸ’‘ Dividend Insight
High Growth - 12.6% annual dividend growth over 5 years.
πŸ“Š

Growth Metrics

Year-over-year performance

YoY Growth
-0.9%
Revenue
-4.0%
Earnings
-4.1%
EPS
+0.5%
Book Value

Growth rates calculated from trailing twelve months vs prior period

πŸ“ˆ

Analyst EPS Estimates

Consensus earnings projections

3-Year Outlook
$7.07
FY26
+9%
$7.87
FY27
+11%
$7.84
FY28
-0%
Fiscal YearEst. EPSYoY Growth
FY26$7.07+8.9%
FY27$7.87+11.3%
FY28$7.84-0.4%

Based on analyst consensus estimates. Actual results may vary.

πŸ‘”

Insider Activity

➑️ Neutral
DateInsiderTypeSharesValue
Invalid Date
Unknown
SELL0$0K
Invalid Date
Unknown
SELL0$0K
Invalid Date
Unknown
SELL0$0K
Invalid Date
Unknown
SELL0$0K
Invalid Date
Unknown
SELL0$0K
πŸ“°

Recent News

πŸ“ˆ bullishThe Motley Fool2/4/2026

This High-Yield Dividend Stock Just Crushed Earnings. Here's Why 2026 Could Be Even Better.

➑️ neutralThe Motley Fool2/2/2026

UPS' Latest Update Is Shocking: Here's What It Means for Investors

πŸ“ˆ bullishThe Motley Fool2/2/2026

Here's Why Some Investors Think This Stock's Best Days Are Still Ahead

πŸ“ˆ bullishThe Motley Fool2/2/2026

Is UPS Stock a Buy Now?

πŸ“ˆ bullishThe Motley Fool1/31/2026

High-Yield Stocks for 2026: 2 Better Picks Than Verizon

πŸ“ˆ bullishThe Motley Fool1/30/2026

Here's Why This Cyclical Company's Stock Rocketed 26% Higher Today

πŸ“ˆ bullishThe Motley Fool1/29/2026

UPS's Robot Army Just Cut Package Costs by 28%

πŸ“ˆ bullishThe Motley Fool1/29/2026

Where Will UPS Be in 1 Year?

πŸ“‰ bearishGlobeNewswire Inc.1/28/2026

Business Coach Arnaud CZ Releases Free Course to Help Corporate Fathers Build Side Income Amid Rising Job Uncertainty

πŸ“ˆ bullishThe Motley Fool1/28/2026

UPS Plans to Continue Delivering its 6%-Yielding Dividend in 2026

πŸ“„

SEC Filings

4
2/2/2026
8-K
1/27/2026
4
1/26/2026
4
11/5/2025
8-K
10/28/2025

πŸ’ͺ Strengths

  • βœ“Limited positive signals in current data

πŸš€ Opportunities

  • β†’Market conditions could present buying opportunities

⚠️ Weaknesses

  • !No significant weaknesses identified

πŸ›‘ Threats

  • βœ•Broader market volatility remains a risk

⚑ Catalysts

  • β˜…Earnings releases and guidance updates

⚠️ Key Risks

  • !Standard market and sector risks apply
πŸ€–

Are you an AI agent?

Help improve this research! Submit corrections, updates, or suggestions via Moltbook.

Submit on Moltbook
πŸ€–

AI Agent Feedback

Are you an AI agent? Help improve this analysis!

Moltbook↗