🤖 AgentsUpdated 8:54:01 PM

PGR(PGR)

$202.24-3.13%

HOLD

Score: 3.3/5 • Confidence: 64%

🤖

AI Summary

PGR (PGR) is currently trading at $202.24, down 3.13% in the last 24 hours. With a P/E ratio of 11.1, the stock appears undervalued relative to earnings. We maintain a HOLD rating pending clearer directional signals.

📈

Price

$202.24

-3.13% today

📊

Volume

1.9M

Daily volume

💰

P/E Ratio

11.1

Valuation

👔

Insider

Neutral

90-day sentiment

📈

Price Chart

PriceVolume

Hover for OHLCV details

📈

Price Data

Current Price$202.24

24h Change-3.13%

Volume1.86M

💰

Fundamentals

P/E Ratio (TTM)11.07

Forward P/E12.49

Forward EPS(2026)$16.19-11%

Profit Margin12.6%

ROE30.2%

Debt/Equity0.19

📊

Technical Analysis Summary

27 indicators analyzed

SELL

Buy Signals

Sell Signals

Neutral

-0.71

Score

Strong SellNeutralStrong Buy

📈 Bullish Signals

MACD

📉 Bearish Signals

IchimokuTTM SqueezeSMA CrossSupertrendADX

🤖 AI Insight

Technical momentum is weakening with 16 sell signals. Consider reducing exposure or tightening stop-losses.

📊

Technical Indicators

Momentum & trend signals

Neutral

RSI (14-day)

49.7Neutral

Oversold

Neutral

Overbought

▼

0305070100

vs 50-Day SMA↓ Below

$217.77-7.2%

vs 200-Day SMA

N/A

📉

Trend Signal

Based on SMA crossovers

Bearish

💡 Technical indicators are tools, not guarantees. Always combine with fundamental analysis.

📊

MACD

(12, 26, 9)

Buy

MACD Line-3.364

Signal Line-3.620

Histogram

📈0.257

BearishBullish

Trend

Neutral

Momentum

Strengthening 📈

✅ MACD line above signal line with positive momentum — bullish signal

📊

Bollinger Bands

Volatility & breakout detection

🔥 SqueezeNeutral

Upper: $214.80

SMA20: $206.62

Lower: $198.44

$202.18

Below Lower (0%)%B: 22.8%Above Upper (100%)

7.9%

Bandwidth

Tight

+6.2%

To Upper

Safe

+1.8%

To Lower

Near

Near Lower

Position

In Band

⚠️

Bollinger Band Squeeze Detected

Low volatility often precedes significant price moves. Watch for breakout direction.

📊

Stochastic Oscillator

Momentum indicator (14,3,3)

⚪ Hold

24.6

%K (Fast)

41.4

%D (Slow)

Bearish

Neutral

↘️ Falling

Direction

0 (Oversold)50100 (Overbought)

%K (Fast: 24.6)

%D (Slow: 41.4)

📉 Bearish Crossover

📊 Neutral: PGR stochastic is in the middle range (24.6). Wait for %K to enter overbought (80+) or oversold (20-) zones for clearer signals.

📏

Average True Range (ATR)

Moderate Volatility

14-Day ATR

$5.92

Per day range

ATR %

2.93%

Of stock price

2x ATR Stop

$190.33

-5.9% from price

Risk/Share

$11.84

For position sizing

Volatility Scale➡️ Stable

0%2%4%6%10%+

Last 5 Days True Range

Day 1

$5.77

Day 2

$4.83

Day 3

$9.83

Day 4

$5.34

Day 5

$7.94

📌 Normal volatility conditions - standard position sizing appropriate.

📊

On-Balance Volume (OBV)

Volume-based momentum indicator

➖ Neutral

-5.58M

Current OBV

-1.91M

Daily Change

↑ Bullish

10-Day Trend

Strong

Volume Momentum

OBV vs 20-Day SMA

Below(-3.90M avg)

10-Day OBV (purple) vs Price (cyan)

10 days agoToday

📊 OBV is neutral: Volume is not confirming a strong trend. Wait for clearer signals before taking directional positions.

📊

Pivot Points

Key Support & Resistance Levels

BearishNormal Range

Price Position in Pivot Range$202.18

$214.13

$212.51

$210.03

$208.41

$205.93

$204.31

$201.83

● $202.18

📉Nearest Support

$201.83

S3 • 0.17% below

📈Nearest Resistance

$208.41

PP • 3.08% above

All Pivot Levels

Resistance 3

$214.13

Resistance 2

$212.51

Resistance 1

$210.03

Pivot Point

$208.41

Support 1

$205.93

Support 2

$204.31

Support 3

$201.83

Position

Below S2

Calculated from Previous Day

High: $210.88Low: $206.78Close: $207.56

💡

Price is trading below the pivot point at $208.41, indicating bearish bias. Watch S1 ($205.93) for potential support.

📐

Fibonacci Retracement

📉 DowntrendNeutral

52W Low: $197.9252W High: $292.99

$202.18

Between 23.6% and 0%

Nearest Support

$197.92

0% (2.1% away)

Nearest Resistance

$220.36

23.6% (9.0% away)

Level	Price	Type	Distance
0%	$197.92	Support	+2.1%
23.6%	$220.36	Resistance	-9.0%
38.2%	$234.24	Resistance	-15.9%
50%✦	$245.45	Resistance	-21.4%
61.8%✦	$256.67	Resistance	-26.9%
78.6%	$272.65	Resistance	-34.9%
100%	$292.99	Resistance	-44.9%

💡 Trading Insight

Price is between Fibonacci levels. The nearest support is at $197.92 and resistance at $220.36.

⚖️

VWAP (Volume Weighted Avg Price)

Price Below VWAP

VWAP

$206.91

Vol-weighted avg

Current Price

$202.55

-2.11% vs VWAP

Signal

📉 Bearish

Based on VWAP

Volume

💤 Low

0.3x avg

Price Position vs VWAP Bands

-2σ ($202.05)VWAP+2σ ($211.78)

$202.55

OversoldNormal RangeOverbought

Upper +2σ

$211.78

Upper +1σ

$209.35

Lower -1σ

$204.48

Lower -2σ

$202.05

🔻 Bearish bias - price below VWAP suggests sellers in control. Rallies to VWAP may offer shorts.

📉

Parabolic SAR

Stop and Reverse Indicator

Downtrend

SAR Level$213.63

Current Price$202.55

Distance to SAR-5.47%

Hold

Trend intact - stay cautious

Moderate

Trend Strength

Trend Duration

0.04

Accel. Factor

$197.92

Extreme Point

SAR vs Price (Last 10 Days)

$216.33

$196.93

SAR (Uptrend)SAR (Downtrend)Close Price

🛡️Trailing Stop

SAR at $213.63 acts as resistance. Cover shorts if breached.

Risk: 5.5% from current price

💡

🔻 Downtrend intact (3 days). SAR resistance at $213.63. Stay cautious.

📊

Williams %R

NeutralNeutral

-75.5

Williams %R (14-day)

-100-80-50-200

OversoldNeutralOverbought

Previous %R-44.4

Change-31.1

Trend📉 Falling

Signal Strength

50%

$197.92

14-Day Low

$202.18

Current Price

$215.25

14-Day High

💡

⏸️ NEUTRAL: Williams %R at -75.5 - the stock is trading in the middle of its 14-day range. Momentum declining - watch for oversold zone below -80. Wait for extremes for clearer signals.

📊 CCI (Commodity Channel Index)

Momentum oscillator measuring price deviation

Sell

Strength: 60%

🔔 Crossover Alert: Zero Cross Down

CCI Value

-51.6↘️

-200-1000+100+200

Neutral↘️ Falling🔄 Zero Cross Down

Previous CCI

+27.0

Typical Price

$204.52

SMA (20)

$206.75

Mean Deviation

$2.88

⏸️ NEUTRAL: CCI at -51.6 - price trading within normal range. Momentum declining - watch for -100 breakdown for sell signal. Wait for CCI to break ±100 levels for clearer trend signals.

20-Day CCI History

+100

-100

Signal Strength60%

🎯Aroon Indicator(25-period)

Sell

Aroon Up

18 day(s) since high

Aroon Down

2 day(s) since low

Aroon Oscillator-64.0

-100+100

BearishNeutralBullish

Trend

Strong Downtrend

25-Day High

$217.39

25-Day Low

$197.92

Signal Strength75%

💡AI Insight

📉 STRONG DOWNTREND: Aroon Down at 92 (above 70) with Aroon Up at 28 (below 30). Price made its 25-day low 2 day(s) ago. Trend is healthy - avoid buying or stay short. Oscillator at -64.0 shows bearish bias.

📊 Rate of Change (ROC)Sell

Neutral

9-Day ROC

-2.80%

12-Day ROC

-0.41%

25-Day ROC

-11.22%

-30%0%+30%

Strong BearishNeutralStrong Bullish

ROC Trend

➡️ Flat

Zero Crossover

⚠️ Bearish

Signal Strength70%

Current Price

$202.18

12-Day Change

$-0.82

⚠️ BEARISH CROSSOVER! ROC just crossed below zero (-0.41%). Momentum has turned negative - price is now lower than 12 days ago. Consider reducing exposure.

🎯

Ultimate Oscillator

Multi-timeframe momentum (7, 14, 28)

Sell

41.2

UO Value (0-100)

0 (Oversold)305070100 (Overbought)

neutral

Zone

📉 falling

Trend

55%

Signal Strength

None

Divergence

Timeframe Contributions (Weighted: 4-2-1)

7-Period

34%(×4)

14-Period

54%(×2)

28-Period

44%(×1)

Today's Buying Pressure

$0.45

Close - min(Low, Prev Close)

Today's True Range

$7.94

max(H,PC) - min(L,PC)

💡

Neutral Zone: UO at 41 is in the neutral zone (30-70). Wait for a move into extreme zones (below 30 or above 70) for clearer signals. The multi-timeframe approach reduces false signals.

📊

Keltner Channels

ATR-based volatility bands

Neutral

Lower: $195.82Middle (EMA): $208.02Upper: $220.22

Oversold

Overbought

$202.18

Lower Half26% of channel

Channel Width

11.7%

ATR (10)

$6.10

3.0% of price

Trend

Downtrend

Signal Strength

50%

Channel Levels

Upper Band$220.228.9% away

Middle (EMA 20)$208.02-2.8%

Lower Band$195.823.1% away

🤖 Trading Insight

⏸️ NEUTRAL: Price 202.18 is in the middle of the channel (EMA: 208.02). Channel width: 11.7%, ATR: 3.0% of price. Trend is downtrend - trade with the EMA direction.

📊

TTM Squeeze

John Carter's Volatility Breakout

Sell

NO SQUEEZE

Bands expanded - no compression detected

Signal Strength

65%

Momentum Oscillator

-3.92

Bearish0Bullish

↘️ FallingModerate Momentum

30-Day Squeeze History

30 days ago

Squeeze ON Squeeze OFF

Today

Bollinger Bands (20, 2)

Upper:$214.80

Lower:$198.44

Width:8.1%

Keltner Channels (20, 1.5)

Upper:$217.17

Lower:$198.87

Width:9.1%

Band Position (Squeeze Detection)

KCBB Outside KC → No SqueezeBB

🤖

AI Trading Insight

📉 NO SQUEEZE - BEARISH MOMENTUM: No squeeze currently (bands expanded). Momentum is negative and falling (-3.92) - bearish continuation likely. Watch for momentum to stabilize before entering.

🐂🐻

Elder Ray (Bull/Bear Power)

Dr. Alexander Elder's Power Index

Strong Sell

🐂 Bull PowerFalling

+3.42

High (209.66) - EMA (206.25)

🐻 Bear PowerFalling

-4.52

Low (201.73) - EMA (206.25)

$206.25

13-Day EMA

📉 Downtrend

Price vs EMA

85%

Signal Strength

14-Day Bull/Bear Power History

2026-01-20Top=Bull, Bottom=Bear2026-02-06

🤖 Trading Insight

📉 Classic Elder Sell Signal: Downtrend with Bull Power positive but falling - bears pushing price down from overbought.

⚡

Force Index

Dr. Alexander Elder's Volume-Price Momentum

Strong Sell

🔔 Bearish Zero-Line Crossover!

Force Index crossed below zero - momentum turning bearish

⚡ 2-EMA (Short)Falling

-3.93M

Day Trading Signal

📊 13-EMA (Medium)Falling

-889.0K

Swing Trading Signal

-10.29M

Raw Force

-2.59%

Price Δ

1.91M

Volume

75%

Strength

Volume vs Average:📉 Below Average(Weak conviction)

20-Day Force Index History

2026-01-09Bars=2-EMA, Line=13-EMA2026-02-06

🤖 Trading Insight

🔔 BEARISH CROSSOVER! Force Index crossed below zero with volume. Momentum shifting to bears - consider exiting longs or shorting.

🐊

Williams Alligator

Trend Direction & Strength

Strong Sell

🍽️

Eating

Lines spread - Strong trend

Bearish

-2.77%

Total Spread

-2.370

Lips-Teeth

-3.520

Teeth-Jaw

🟢 Lips (5)

$206.53

↓ Falling

🔴 Teeth (8)

$208.90

→ Flat

🔵 Jaw (13)

$212.42

↓ Falling

Price vs AlligatorBelow

Price below all lines = Bearish momentum

Signal Strength85%

20-Day Alligator Chart

LipsTeethJawPrice

🤖 AI Insight

🍽️ Alligator is EATING - strong bearish trend in progress! Lines properly ordered (Lips 206.53 > Teeth 208.90 > Jaw 212.42). Spread at 2.77%. Ride the trend with trailing stops!

📊

Donchian Channels

Richard Donchian's Breakout System (20-period)

Sell

20-Day LowMiddle20-Day High

$197.92$207.65$217.39

Price Position: Lower Half (22%)

Current Price

$202.18

Channel Width

9.4%

Trend

Strong Downtrend

Signal Strength

60%

20-Day High

$217.39

18 days ago

20-Day Low

$197.92

2 days ago

Channel Volatility:➡️ Stable

🤖 AI Insight

Price at $202.18 is in the lower half of the 20-day Donchian Channel (197.92 - 217.39). Channel is stable with 9.4% width. Current trend: Strong Downtrend.

🎯

Supertrend

ATR-Based Trend Following

Downtrend

Supertrend Level$218.13

Current Price$202.18

Distance-7.31%

Strong Sell

Price below Supertrend - avoid longs

Strong

Trend Strength

16d

Trend Duration

$6.10

ATR (10-day)

3×

ATR Multiplier

Volatility (ATR%)3.02%

Supertrend Slope→ Flat

Supertrend vs Price (Last 15 Days)

$229.48

$201.36

Supertrend (Up)Supertrend (Down)Price

Current Bands

Upper Band (Resistance)$218.13

Lower Band (Support)$200.11

Active: Upper Band as resistance at $218.13

Signal Strength

Weak75%Strong

💡

📉 DOWNTREND active for 16 days. Price $202.18 is 7.3% below Supertrend $218.13. Strong trend strength. The Supertrend line acts as resistance - watch for exhaustion.

🌊

Choppiness Index

Trend vs Range Detection (14-period)

Neutral

⏳

Ranging(11 days)

Wait

📈 Trending⏳ Transitional📊 Choppy

0-38.238.2-61.861.8-100

Choppiness Index

59.6+1.9 ↗️

Transitional

14-Day Price Range

8.6%

$197.92 - $215.25

ATR (14)

$5.96

Trend

Rising ↗️

Signal Strength

50%

🤖

⏳ TRANSITIONAL MARKET (CHOP: 59.6). The market is between trending and ranging. Choppiness is increasing (1.9 points). ⚠️ Choppiness increasing - trend may be ending. Be cautious with trend trades. Trading advice: WAIT for clearer signals or use smaller position sizes.

⚖️

Valuation Metrics

Relative value indicators

📊 Comparables

11.1x

P/E

Value

3.35x

P/B

Premium

1.39x

P/S

Value

8.9x

EV/EBITDA

Cheap

1.47x

EV/Rev

Value

4.10

PEG

Expensive

Enterprise Value$125B

💡 PEG < 1 suggests undervalued relative to growth • EV/EBITDA accounts for debt

📅

Historical Returns

Price performance across timeframes

📊 Performance

-2.8%

1 Week

-3.3%

1 Month

-7.0%

3 Months

-17.4%

6 Months

YTD

-4.7%

Year to Date

-19.6%

1 Year

-2.8%

-3.3%

-7.0%

-17.4%

YTD

-4.7%

-19.6%

Best Period1 Week: +-2.8%

Worst Period1 Year: -19.6%

📈 Insight: Compare returns across timeframes to identify trends and momentum shifts.

📅

Seasonality Analysis

📊

Market Comparison

Performance vs S&P 500

📈 Alpha

📉 Lagging Market

vs S&P 500

-13.7%

Avg Alpha

0/6

Periods Beating

-2.8%

Best (1W)

1 Week-2.8% alpha

PGR-2.8%

S&P 500+0.0%

1 Month-3.7% alpha

PGR-3.3%

S&P 500+0.3%

3 Months-10.1% alpha

PGR-7.0%

S&P 500+3.1%

6 Months-26.3% alpha

PGR-17.4%

S&P 500+8.8%

💡

PGR has underperformed the S&P 500 by -13.7% on average. Consider evaluating sector rotation or company-specific factors.

💰

Dividend History

Past payments & growth

Quarterly

$13.90

TTM Dividend

+49.9%

5Y CAGR

6 yrs

Pay Streak

Payments (5Y)

Payment History

OldestMost Recent →

Ex-Date	Amount	Est. Yield
Jan 2, 2026Latest	$13.6000	25.65%
Oct 2, 2025	$0.1000	0.17%
Jul 3, 2025	$0.1000	0.16%
Apr 3, 2025	$0.1000	0.15%
Jan 10, 2025	$4.6000	8.32%
Oct 3, 2024	$0.1000	0.17%
Jul 3, 2024	$0.1000	0.21%
Apr 3, 2024	$0.1000	0.21%

💡 Dividend Insight

High Growth - 49.9% annual dividend growth over 5 years.

📊

Growth Metrics

Year-over-year performance

YoY Growth

+3.4%

Revenue

+2.7%

Earnings

+2.7%

EPS

+8.7%

Book Value

Growth rates calculated from trailing twelve months vs prior period

📈

Analyst EPS Estimates

Consensus earnings projections

3-Year Outlook

$16.19

FY26

-11%

$16.65

FY27

+3%

$16.98

FY28

+2%

Fiscal Year	Est. EPS	YoY Growth	Implied P/E
FY26	$16.19	-11.4%	12.5x
FY27	$16.65	+2.8%	12.1x
FY28	$16.98	+2.0%	11.9x

Based on analyst consensus estimates. Actual results may vary.

👔

Insider Activity

➡️ Neutral

Date	Insider	Type	Value
Invalid Date	Unknown	SELL	$0K
Invalid Date	Unknown	SELL	$0K
Invalid Date	Unknown	SELL	$0K
Invalid Date	Unknown	SELL	$0K
Invalid Date	Unknown	SELL	$0K

📰

SEC Filings

💪 Strengths

✓Conservative debt levels provide stability

🚀 Opportunities

→Market conditions could present buying opportunities

⚠️ Weaknesses

!No significant weaknesses identified

🛑 Threats

✕Broader market volatility remains a risk

⚡ Catalysts

★Earnings releases and guidance updates

⚠️ Key Risks

!Standard market and sector risks apply

🤖

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🤖

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PGR(PGR)

AI Summary

Price

Volume

P/E Ratio

Insider

Price Chart

Price Data

Fundamentals

Technical Analysis Summary

Technical Indicators

MACD

Bollinger Bands

Stochastic Oscillator

Average True Range (ATR)

On-Balance Volume (OBV)

Pivot Points

All Pivot Levels

Fibonacci Retracement

VWAP (Volume Weighted Avg Price)

Parabolic SAR

Williams %R

📊 CCI (Commodity Channel Index)

20-Day CCI History

🎯Aroon Indicator(25-period)

📊 Rate of Change (ROC)Sell

Ultimate Oscillator

Keltner Channels

TTM Squeeze

Elder Ray (Bull/Bear Power)

Force Index

Williams Alligator

Donchian Channels

Supertrend

Choppiness Index

Valuation Metrics

Historical Returns

Seasonality Analysis

Market Comparison

Dividend History

Growth Metrics

Analyst EPS Estimates

Insider Activity

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SEC Filings

💪 Strengths

🚀 Opportunities

⚠️ Weaknesses

🛑 Threats

⚡ Catalysts

⚠️ Key Risks

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