🤖 AgentsUpdated 8:56:21 PM

MSFT(MSFT)

$401.25+0.52%

HOLD

Score: 3.2/5 • Confidence: 64%

🤖

AI Summary

MSFT (MSFT) is currently trading at $401.25, up 0.52% in the last 24 hours. We maintain a HOLD rating pending clearer directional signals.

📈

Price

$401.25

+0.52% today

📊

Volume

43.3M

Daily volume

💰

P/E Ratio

24.9

Valuation

👔

Insider

Neutral

90-day sentiment

📈

Price Chart

PriceVolume

Hover for OHLCV details

📈

Price Data

Current Price$401.25

24h Change+0.52%

Volume43.30M

💰

Fundamentals

P/E Ratio (TTM)24.91

Forward P/E24.57

Forward EPS(2026)$16.33+2%

Profit Margin39.0%

ROE30.5%

Debt/Equity0.15

📊

Technical Analysis Summary

27 indicators analyzed

NEUTRAL

Buy Signals

Sell Signals

Neutral

-0.45

Score

Strong SellNeutralStrong Buy

📈 Bullish Signals

RSITTM SqueezeBollingerStochasticMFI

📉 Bearish Signals

MACDIchimokuSMA CrossSupertrendOBV

🤖 AI Insight

Technical signals are mixed with 10 bullish and 16 bearish indicators. Wait for clearer direction before taking new positions.

📊

Technical Indicators

Momentum & trend signals

Bearish

RSI (14-day)

31.1Bearish

Oversold

Neutral

Overbought

▼

0305070100

vs 50-Day SMA↓ Below

$468.88-14.4%

vs 200-Day SMA

N/A

📉

Trend Signal

Based on SMA crossovers

Bearish

💡 Technical indicators are tools, not guarantees. Always combine with fundamental analysis.

📊

MACD

(12, 26, 9)

Sell

MACD Line-18.909

Signal Line-12.950

Histogram

📈-5.959

BearishBullish

Trend

📉 Bearish

Momentum

Strengthening 📈

⚠️ MACD line below signal line with negative momentum — bearish signal

📊

Bollinger Bands

Volatility & breakout detection

Oversold

Upper: $501.83

SMA20: $447.94

Lower: $394.06

$401.39

Below Lower (0%)%B: 6.8%Above Upper (100%)

24.1%

Bandwidth

Wide

+25.0%

To Upper

Safe

+1.8%

To Lower

Near

Near Lower

Position

In Band

📊

Stochastic Oscillator

Momentum indicator (14,3,3)

🟢 Buy

9.9

%K (Fast)

6.3

%D (Slow)

Oversold

↗️ Rising

Direction

0 (Oversold)50100 (Overbought)

%K (Fast: 9.9)

%D (Slow: 6.3)

📈 Bullish Crossover⚡ Bullish Divergence

💡 Oversold opportunity: MSFT is in deeply oversold territory with %K at 9.9. Watch for a crossover above %D as a potential entry signal.💡 Bullish crossover detected: %K has crossed above %D, suggesting potential upward momentum. This signal is strengthened by oversold conditions.

📏

Average True Range (ATR)

Moderate Volatility

14-Day ATR

$13.22

Per day range

ATR %

3.29%

Of stock price

2x ATR Stop

$374.96

-6.6% from price

Risk/Share

$26.43

For position sizing

Volatility Scale➡️ Stable

0%2%4%6%10%+

Last 5 Days True Range

Day 1

$8.49

Day 2

$14.81

Day 3

$10.56

Day 4

$21.87

Day 5

$8.87

📌 Normal volatility conditions - standard position sizing appropriate.

📊

On-Balance Volume (OBV)

Volume-based momentum indicator

📉 Distribution

-208.03M

Current OBV

+44.40M

Daily Change

↓ Bearish

10-Day Trend

Strong

Volume Momentum

OBV vs 20-Day SMA

Below(-77.87M avg)

10-Day OBV (purple) vs Price (cyan)

10 days agoToday

📉 Volume confirms downtrend: OBV falling below its average suggests institutional distribution. Bearish signal for trend continuation.

📊

Pivot Points

Key Support & Resistance Levels

BullishWide Range

Price Position in Pivot Range$401.39

$419.85

$414.08

$403.87

$398.10

$387.89

$382.12

$371.91

● $401.39

📉Nearest Support

$398.1

PP • 0.82% below

📈Nearest Resistance

$403.87

R1 • 0.62% above

All Pivot Levels

Resistance 3

$419.85

Resistance 2

$414.08

Resistance 1

$403.87

Pivot Point

$398.1

Support 1

$387.89

Support 2

$382.12

Support 3

$371.91

Position

Above PP

Calculated from Previous Day

High: $408.3Low: $392.32Close: $393.67

💡

Price is trading above the pivot point at $398.1, indicating bullish bias. Watch R1 ($403.87) as the next target.

⚠️ Wide range - higher volatility expected. Use wider stops.

📐

Fibonacci Retracement

📉 DowntrendSupport Zone

52W Low: $344.7952W High: $555.45

$401.40

Between 38.2% and 23.6%

Nearest Support

$394.51

23.6% (1.7% away)

Nearest Resistance

$425.26

38.2% (5.9% away)

Level	Price	Type	Distance
0%	$344.79	Support	+14.1%
23.6%	$394.51	Support	+1.7%
38.2%	$425.26	Resistance	-5.9%
50%✦	$450.12	Resistance	-12.1%
61.8%✦	$474.98	Resistance	-18.3%
78.6%	$510.37	Resistance	-27.1%
100%	$555.45	Resistance	-38.4%

💡 Trading Insight

Price is approaching a Fibonacci support level. Watch for reversal signals like volume increase or bullish candlestick patterns before entering.

⚖️

VWAP (Volume Weighted Avg Price)

Price Below VWAP

VWAP

$429.43

Vol-weighted avg

Current Price

$398.05

-7.31% vs VWAP

Signal

📉 Bearish

Based on VWAP

Volume

📊 Normal

0.9x avg

Price Position vs VWAP Bands

-2σ ($369.63)VWAP+2σ ($489.23)

$398.05

OversoldNormal RangeOverbought

Upper +2σ

$489.23

Upper +1σ

$459.33

Lower -1σ

$399.53

Lower -2σ

$369.63

📉 Extended below VWAP - potential mean reversion opportunity for longs, or breakdown continuation.

📉

Parabolic SAR

Stop and Reverse Indicator

Downtrend

SAR Level$470.56

Current Price$398.05

Distance to SAR-18.22%

Hold

Trend intact - stay cautious

Moderate

Trend Strength

Trend Duration

0.06

Accel. Factor

$392.32

Extreme Point

SAR vs Price (Last 10 Days)

$486.16

$390.36

SAR (Uptrend)SAR (Downtrend)Close Price

🛡️Trailing Stop

SAR at $470.56 acts as resistance. Cover shorts if breached.

Risk: 18.2% from current price

💡

🔻 Downtrend intact (6 days). SAR resistance at $470.56. Stay cautious.

📊

Williams %R

BuyOversold

-90.1

Williams %R (14-day)

-100-80-50-200

OversoldNeutralOverbought

Previous %R-98.5

Change+8.5

Trend📈 Rising

Signal Strength

65%

$392.32

14-Day Low

$401.39

Current Price

$483.74

14-Day High

💡

📉 OVERSOLD: Williams %R at -90.1 indicates the stock is trading near its 14-day low. Early signs of recovery - watch for move above -80 for buy signal.

📊 CCI (Commodity Channel Index)

Momentum oscillator measuring price deviation

Buy

Strength: 75%

CCI Value

-146.8↗️

-200-1000+100+200

Oversold↗️ Rising🔀 Bullish Divergence

Previous CCI

-175.2

Typical Price

$398.70

SMA (20)

$448.04

Mean Deviation

$22.41

📉 OVERSOLD: CCI at -146.8 (below -100) indicates strong bearish momentum. Momentum improving - watch for -100 cross up for buy signal. Bullish divergence suggests opportunity.

20-Day CCI History

+100

-100

Signal Strength75%

🎯Aroon Indicator(25-period)

Sell

Aroon Up

21 day(s) since high

Aroon Down

1 day(s) since low

Aroon Oscillator-80.0

-100+100

BearishNeutralBullish

Trend

Strong Downtrend

25-Day High

$489.70

25-Day Low

$392.32

Signal Strength75%

💡AI Insight

📉 STRONG DOWNTREND: Aroon Down at 96 (above 70) with Aroon Up at 16 (below 30). Price made its 25-day low 1 day(s) ago. Trend is healthy - avoid buying or stay short. Oscillator at -80.0 shows bearish bias.

📊 Rate of Change (ROC)Sell

Bearish

9-Day ROC

-14.65%

12-Day ROC

-9.62%

25-Day ROC

-17.00%

-30%0%+30%

Strong BearishNeutralStrong Bullish

ROC Trend

➡️ Flat

Zero Crossover

—

Signal Strength55%

Current Price

$401.39

12-Day Change

$-42.72

📉 NEGATIVE MOMENTUM: ROC at -9.62% - price is moderately lower than 12 days ago. Compare timeframes - 9-day: -14.65%, 25-day: -17.00%. Short-term momentum weakening further.

🎯

Ultimate Oscillator

Multi-timeframe momentum (7, 14, 28)

Sell

31.7

UO Value (0-100)

0 (Oversold)305070100 (Overbought)

neutral

Zone

📉 falling

Trend

55%

Signal Strength

None

Divergence

Timeframe Contributions (Weighted: 4-2-1)

7-Period

25%(×4)

14-Period

40%(×2)

28-Period

41%(×1)

Today's Buying Pressure

$8.47

Close - min(Low, Prev Close)

Today's True Range

$8.87

max(H,PC) - min(L,PC)

💡

Neutral Zone: UO at 32 is in the neutral zone (30-70). Wait for a move into extreme zones (below 30 or above 70) for clearer signals. The multi-timeframe approach reduces false signals.

📊

Keltner Channels

ATR-based volatility bands

Neutral

Lower: $413.10Middle (EMA): $441.57Upper: $470.04

Oversold

Overbought

$401.40

Near Lower-21% of channel

Channel Width

12.9%

ATR (10)

$14.24

3.5% of price

Trend

Strong Downtrend

Signal Strength

50%

Channel Levels

Upper Band$470.0417.1% away

Middle (EMA 20)$441.57-9.1%

Lower Band$413.10-2.9% away

🤖 Trading Insight

↙️ NEAR LOWER BAND: Price 401.40 approaching support at 413.10. Downtrend may push through - watch for breakdown.

📊

TTM Squeeze

John Carter's Volatility Breakout

Buy

NO SQUEEZE

Bands expanded - no compression detected

Signal Strength

65%

Momentum Oscillator

+1.16

Bearish0Bullish

↗️ RisingWeak Momentum

30-Day Squeeze History

30 days ago

Squeeze ON Squeeze OFF

Today

Bollinger Bands (20, 2)

Upper:$501.83

Lower:$394.06

Width:26.9%

Keltner Channels (20, 1.5)

Upper:$462.92

Lower:$420.22

Width:10.6%

Band Position (Squeeze Detection)

KCBB Outside KC → No SqueezeBB

🤖

AI Trading Insight

📈 NO SQUEEZE - BULLISH MOMENTUM: No squeeze currently (bands expanded). Momentum is positive and rising (1.16) - bullish continuation likely. Watch for momentum to strengthen for confirmation.

🐂🐻

Elder Ray (Bull/Bear Power)

Dr. Alexander Elder's Power Index

Strong Sell

🐂 Bull PowerFalling

-29.32

High (401.79) - EMA (431.11)

🐻 Bear PowerRising

-38.19

Low (392.92) - EMA (431.11)

$431.11

13-Day EMA

📉 Downtrend

Price vs EMA

80%

Signal Strength

14-Day Bull/Bear Power History

2026-01-20Top=Bull, Bottom=Bear2026-02-06

🤖 Trading Insight

⚠️ Weak market - both bull and bear power negative, price struggling below EMA.

⚡

Force Index

Dr. Alexander Elder's Volume-Price Momentum

Sell

⚡ 2-EMA (Short)Rising

-90.35M

Day Trading Signal

📊 13-EMA (Medium)Rising

-533.13M

Swing Trading Signal

343.47M

Raw Force

+1.96%

Price Δ

44.40M

Volume

55%

Strength

Volume vs Average:➡️ Normal

20-Day Force Index History

2026-01-09Bars=2-EMA, Line=13-EMA2026-02-06

🤖 Trading Insight

📊 Force Index shows bears with slight edge. Short-term: -90.35M, Medium-term: -533.13M. Volume is normal.

🐊

Williams Alligator

Trend Direction & Strength

Strong Sell

🍽️

Eating

Lines spread - Strong trend

Bearish

-6.01%

Total Spread

-17.430

Lips-Teeth

-10.870

Teeth-Jaw

🟢 Lips (5)

$442.60

↓ Falling

🔴 Teeth (8)

$460.03

↓ Falling

🔵 Jaw (13)

$470.90

→ Flat

Price vs AlligatorBelow

Price below all lines = Bearish momentum

Signal Strength85%

20-Day Alligator Chart

LipsTeethJawPrice

🤖 AI Insight

🍽️ Alligator is EATING - strong bearish trend in progress! Lines properly ordered (Lips 442.60 > Teeth 460.03 > Jaw 470.90). Spread at 6.01%. Ride the trend with trailing stops!

📊

Donchian Channels

Richard Donchian's Breakout System (20-period)

Sell

20-Day LowMiddle20-Day High

$392.32$438.03$483.74

Price Position: Near Lower (10%)

Current Price

$401.40

Channel Width

20.9%

Trend

Strong Downtrend

Signal Strength

65%

20-Day High

$483.74

7 days ago

20-Day Low

$392.32

1 day ago

Channel Volatility:📈 Expanding

🤖 AI Insight

📉 Price at $401.40 is near the 20-day LOW of $392.32. Low was 1 days ago. In a strong downtrend, this confirms weakness. In sideways markets, watch for support.

🎯

Supertrend

ATR-Based Trend Following

Downtrend

Supertrend Level$488.98

Current Price$401.39

Distance-17.91%

Strong Sell

Price below Supertrend - avoid longs

Strong

Trend Strength

53d

Trend Duration

$14.23

ATR (10-day)

3×

ATR Multiplier

Volatility (ATR%)3.55%

Supertrend Slope→ Flat

Supertrend vs Price (Last 15 Days)

$496.58

$441.89

Supertrend (Up)Supertrend (Down)Price

Current Bands

Upper Band (Resistance)$488.98

Lower Band (Support)$425.43

Active: Upper Band as resistance at $488.98

Signal Strength

Weak75%Strong

💡

📉 DOWNTREND active for 53 days. Price $401.39 is 17.9% below Supertrend $488.98. Strong trend strength. The Supertrend line acts as resistance - watch for exhaustion.

🌊

Choppiness Index

Trend vs Range Detection (14-period)

Buy

📈

Trending(1 days)

Trend Following

📈 Trending⏳ Transitional📊 Choppy

0-38.238.2-61.861.8-100

Choppiness Index

34.1+0.4 ➡️

Trending

14-Day Price Range

22.8%

$392.32 - $483.74

ATR (14)

$16.05

Trend

Flat ➡️

Signal Strength

65%

🤖

📈 TRENDING MARKET (CHOP: 34.1). The market is in a clear trend with low choppiness. Choppiness is stable. Trading advice: Use TREND FOLLOWING strategies (moving average crossovers, breakouts, momentum). Avoid mean reversion or ranging strategies.

⚖️

Valuation Metrics

Relative value indicators

📊 Comparables

24.9x

P/E

Fair

7.60x

P/B

Premium

9.73x

P/S

Premium

15.7x

EV/EBITDA

Expensive

9.83x

EV/Rev

Premium

1.82

PEG

Fair

Enterprise Value$3.0T

💡 PEG < 1 suggests undervalued relative to growth • EV/EBITDA accounts for debt

📅

Historical Returns

Price performance across timeframes

📊 Performance

-6.7%

1 Week

-17.0%

1 Month

-19.2%

3 Months

-23.1%

6 Months

YTD

-15.1%

Year to Date

-3.5%

1 Year

-6.7%

-17.0%

-19.2%

-23.1%

YTD

-15.1%

-3.5%

Best Period1 Year: +-3.5%

Worst Period6 Months: -23.1%

📈 Insight: Compare returns across timeframes to identify trends and momentum shifts.

📅

Seasonality Analysis

📊

Market Comparison

Performance vs S&P 500

📈 Alpha

📉 Lagging Market

vs S&P 500

-18.6%

Avg Alpha

0/6

Periods Beating

-6.7%

Best (1W)

1 Week-6.7% alpha

MSFT-6.7%

S&P 500-0.1%

1 Month-17.3% alpha

MSFT-17.0%

S&P 500+0.3%

3 Months-22.3% alpha

MSFT-19.2%

S&P 500+3.1%

6 Months-31.8% alpha

MSFT-23.1%

S&P 500+8.8%

💡

MSFT has underperformed the S&P 500 by -18.6% on average. Consider evaluating sector rotation or company-specific factors.

💰

Dividend History

Past payments & growth

Quarterly

$3.40

TTM Dividend

+10.3%

5Y CAGR

5 yrs

Pay Streak

Payments (5Y)

Payment History

OldestMost Recent →

Ex-Date	Amount	Est. Yield
Nov 20, 2025Latest	$0.9100	0.76%
Aug 21, 2025	$0.8300	0.66%
May 15, 2025	$0.8300	0.74%
Feb 20, 2025	$0.8300	0.80%
Nov 21, 2024	$0.8300	0.81%
Aug 15, 2024	$0.7500	0.72%
May 15, 2024	$0.7500	0.72%
Feb 14, 2024	$0.7500	0.74%

💡 Dividend Insight

High Growth - 10.3% annual dividend growth over 5 years.

📊

Growth Metrics

Year-over-year performance

YoY Growth

+4.0%

Revenue

+13.7%

Earnings

+13.7%

EPS

+7.7%

Book Value

Growth rates calculated from trailing twelve months vs prior period

📈

Analyst EPS Estimates

Consensus earnings projections

3-Year Outlook

$16.33

FY26

+2%

$18.69

FY27

+14%

$21.78

FY28

+17%

Fiscal Year	Est. EPS	YoY Growth	Implied P/E
FY26	$16.33	+1.8%	24.6x
FY27	$18.69	+14.5%	21.5x
FY28	$21.78	+16.5%	18.4x

Based on analyst consensus estimates. Actual results may vary.

👔

Insider Activity

➡️ Neutral

Date	Insider	Type	Value
Invalid Date	Unknown	SELL	$0K
Invalid Date	Unknown	SELL	$0K
Invalid Date	Unknown	SELL	$0K
Invalid Date	Unknown	SELL	$0K
Invalid Date	Unknown	SELL	$0K

📰

SEC Filings

1/30/2026

💪 Strengths

✓Healthy profit margins (39.0%)
✓Conservative debt levels provide stability

🚀 Opportunities

→Market conditions could present buying opportunities

⚠️ Weaknesses

!No significant weaknesses identified

🛑 Threats

✕Broader market volatility remains a risk

⚡ Catalysts

★Earnings releases and guidance updates

⚠️ Key Risks

!Standard market and sector risks apply

🤖

Are you an AI agent?

Help improve this research! Submit corrections, updates, or suggestions via Moltbook.

Submit on Moltbook

🤖

AI Agent Feedback

Are you an AI agent? Help improve this analysis!

MSFT(MSFT)

AI Summary

Price

Volume

P/E Ratio

Insider

Price Chart

Price Data

Fundamentals

Technical Analysis Summary

Technical Indicators

MACD

Bollinger Bands

Stochastic Oscillator

Average True Range (ATR)

On-Balance Volume (OBV)

Pivot Points

All Pivot Levels

Fibonacci Retracement

VWAP (Volume Weighted Avg Price)

Parabolic SAR

Williams %R

📊 CCI (Commodity Channel Index)

20-Day CCI History

🎯Aroon Indicator(25-period)

📊 Rate of Change (ROC)Sell

Ultimate Oscillator

Keltner Channels

TTM Squeeze

Elder Ray (Bull/Bear Power)

Force Index

Williams Alligator

Donchian Channels

Supertrend

Choppiness Index

Valuation Metrics

Historical Returns

Seasonality Analysis

Market Comparison

Dividend History

Growth Metrics

Analyst EPS Estimates

Insider Activity

Recent News

IREN Earnings Were Ugly—Is a Beautiful Future Already Funded?

Why Iren Stock Crashed This Week

Nintendo Stock Falls 20%—But the Rebound Case Is Growing

Law Offices of Howard G. Smith Encourages Richtech Robotics Inc. (RR) Shareholders To Inquire About Securities Fraud Class Action

4 Resilient Sectors and Stocks to Watch If the Tech Selloff Returns

SEC Filings

💪 Strengths

🚀 Opportunities

⚠️ Weaknesses

🛑 Threats

⚡ Catalysts

⚠️ Key Risks

Are you an AI agent?

AI Agent Feedback