📊
AlphaAgents
🤖 AgentsUpdated 8:52:44 PM

MRK(MRK)

$122.03+1.06%
HOLD
Score: 3.2/5 • Confidence: 64%
🤖

AI Summary

MRK (MRK) is currently trading at $122.03, up 1.06% in the last 24 hours. We maintain a HOLD rating pending clearer directional signals.

📈

Price

$122.03
+1.06% today
📊

Volume

9.4M
Daily volume
💰

P/E Ratio

16.0
Valuation
👔

Insider

Neutral
90-day sentiment
📈

Price Chart

PriceVolume
Hover for OHLCV details
📈

Price Data

Current Price$122.03
24h Change+1.06%
Volume9.44M
💰

Fundamentals

P/E Ratio (TTM)16.01
Forward P/E23.70
Forward EPS(2026)$5.15-32%
Profit Margin29.6%
ROE36.7%
Debt/Equity0.80
📊

Technical Analysis Summary

27 indicators analyzed

NEUTRAL
15
Buy Signals
6
Sell Signals
6
Neutral
+0.40
Score
Strong SellNeutralStrong Buy
📈 Bullish Signals
MACDIchimokuSMA CrossSupertrendOBV
📉 Bearish Signals
RSIADXMFICCIElder Ray
🤖 AI Insight

Technical signals are mixed with 15 bullish and 6 bearish indicators. Wait for clearer direction before taking new positions.

📊

Technical Indicators

Momentum & trend signals

Strong Bullish
RSI (14-day)
79.2Overbought
Oversold
Neutral
Overbought
0305070100
vs 50-Day SMA↑ Above
$106.47+14.7%
vs 200-Day SMA
N/A
📈
Trend Signal
Based on SMA crossovers
Bullish

💡 Technical indicators are tools, not guarantees. Always combine with fundamental analysis.

📊

MACD

(12, 26, 9)
Buy
MACD Line3.584
Signal Line2.568
Histogram
📈1.016
BearishBullish
Trend
📈 Bullish
Momentum
Strengthening 📈
✅ MACD line above signal line with positive momentum — bullish signal
📊

Bollinger Bands

Volatility & breakout detection

Breakout Up
Upper: $119.80
SMA20: $111.35
Lower: $102.90
$122.14
Below Lower (0%)%B: 113.8%Above Upper (100%)
15.2%
Bandwidth
Normal
+-1.9%
To Upper
Near
+15.8%
To Lower
Safe
Above Upper
Position
In Band
📊

Stochastic Oscillator

Momentum indicator (14,3,3)

Hold
96.9
%K (Fast)
88.7
%D (Slow)
Overbought
Overbought
↗️ Rising
Direction
20
80
0 (Oversold)50100 (Overbought)
%K (Fast: 96.9)
%D (Slow: 88.7)

📊 Neutral: MRK stochastic is in the middle range (96.9). Wait for %K to enter overbought (80+) or oversold (20-) zones for clearer signals.

📏

Average True Range (ATR)

Moderate Volatility
14-Day ATR
$3.05
Per day range
ATR %
2.50%
Of stock price
2x ATR Stop
$116.04
-5.0% from price
Risk/Share
$6.10
For position sizing
Volatility Scale📈 Expanding
0%2%4%6%10%+
Last 5 Days True Range
Day 1
$3.94
Day 2
$7.02
Day 3
$4.55
Day 4
$4.12
Day 5
$2.91

📊 Volatility increasing - consider wider stops to avoid getting stopped out.

📊

On-Balance Volume (OBV)

Volume-based momentum indicator

📈 Accumulation
214.42M
Current OBV
+10.02M
Daily Change
Bullish
10-Day Trend
Strong
Volume Momentum
OBV vs 20-Day SMA
Above(118.57M avg)
10-Day OBV (purple) vs Price (cyan)
10 days agoToday

📈 Volume confirms uptrend: OBV rising above its average suggests institutional accumulation. Bullish signal for trend continuation.

📊

Pivot Points

Key Support & Resistance Levels

BullishWide Range
Price Position in Pivot Range$122.14
R3
$126.14
R2
$124.28
R1
$122.02
PP
$120.16
S1
$117.90
S2
$116.04
S3
$113.78
● $122.14
📉Nearest Support
$120.16
PP1.62% below
📈Nearest Resistance
$124.28
R21.75% above

All Pivot Levels

Resistance 3
$126.14
Resistance 2
$124.28
Resistance 1
$122.02
Pivot Point
$120.16
Support 1
$117.9
Support 2
$116.04
Support 3
$113.78
Position
Above R1
Calculated from Previous Day
High: $122.43Low: $118.31Close: $119.75
💡

Price is trading above the pivot point at $120.16, indicating bullish bias. Watch R1 ($122.02) as the next target.

⚠️ Wide range - higher volatility expected. Use wider stops.

📐

Fibonacci Retracement

📈 UptrendNeutral
52W Low: $73.3152W High: $122.66
$122.14
Between 0% and 23.6%
Nearest Support
$111.01
23.6% (9.1% away)
Nearest Resistance
LevelPriceTypeDistance
0%$122.66Current-0.4%
23.6%$111.01Support+9.1%
38.2%$103.81Support+15.0%
50%$97.99Support+19.8%
61.8%$92.16Support+24.6%
78.6%$83.87Support+31.3%
100%$73.31Support+40.0%
💡 Trading Insight
Price is between Fibonacci levels. The nearest support is at $111.01 and resistance at $N/A.
⚖️

VWAP (Volume Weighted Avg Price)

Price Above VWAP
VWAP
$113.89
Vol-weighted avg
Current Price
$122.22
+7.31% vs VWAP
Signal
📈 Bullish
Based on VWAP
Volume
📊 Normal
0.6x avg
Price Position vs VWAP Bands
-2σ ($103.15)VWAP+2σ ($124.63)
$122.22
OversoldNormal RangeOverbought
Upper +2σ
$124.63
Upper +1σ
$119.26
Lower -1σ
$108.52
Lower -2σ
$103.15
📈 Extended above VWAP - potential mean reversion opportunity for shorts, or breakout continuation.
📈

Parabolic SAR

Stop and Reverse Indicator

Uptrend
SAR Level$109.63
Current Price$122.22
Distance to SAR+10.30%
Hold
Trend intact - trail stops
Moderate
Trend Strength
5d
Trend Duration
0.12
Accel. Factor
$122.66
Extreme Point
SAR vs Price (Last 10 Days)
$123.27
$105.50
SAR (Uptrend)SAR (Downtrend)Close Price
🛡️Trailing Stop
Place stop-loss at SAR ($109.63). Move up as SAR rises.
Risk: 10.3% from current price
💡

📈 Uptrend intact (5 days). SAR support at $109.63. Trail stops below SAR.

📊

Williams %R

NeutralOverbought
-3.1
Williams %R (14-day)
-100-80-50-200
OversoldNeutralOverbought
Previous %R-16.3
Change+13.2
Trend📈 Rising
Signal Strength
45%
$106.03
14-Day Low
$122.14
Current Price
$122.66
14-Day High
💡

📈 OVERBOUGHT: Williams %R at -3.1 indicates the stock is trading near its 14-day high. Strong momentum continues - may stay overbought in uptrends.

📊 CCI (Commodity Channel Index)

Momentum oscillator measuring price deviation

Strong Sell

Strength: 85%

CCI Value
+220.2↘️
-200-1000+100+200
Extreme Overbought↘️ Falling

Previous CCI

+260.6

Typical Price

$121.75

SMA (20)

$111.22

Mean Deviation

$3.19

🔥 EXTREME OVERBOUGHT: CCI at 220.2 (above +200) - extraordinary bullish momentum! CAUTION: CCI starting to decline - potential reversal imminent.

20-Day CCI History

+100
0
-100
Signal Strength85%

🎯Aroon Indicator(25-period)

Buy
Aroon Up
70
30
100
📈 New 25-day high TODAY!
Aroon Down
70
30
4
24 day(s) since low
Aroon Oscillator+96.0
-100+100
BearishNeutralBullish
Trend
Strong Uptrend
25-Day High
$122.66
25-Day Low
$104.43
Signal Strength75%
💡AI Insight

📈 STRONG UPTREND: Aroon Up at 100 (above 70) with Aroon Down at 4 (below 30). Price made its 25-day high 0 day(s) ago. Trend is healthy - stay long and trail stops. Oscillator at 96.0 shows bullish bias.

📊 Rate of Change (ROC)Buy

Bullish
9-Day ROC
+13.72%
12-Day ROC
+9.93%
25-Day ROC
+16.04%
-30%0%+30%
Strong BearishNeutralStrong Bullish
ROC Trend
📈 Rising
Zero Crossover
Signal Strength55%
Current Price
$122.14
12-Day Change
+$11.03
📈 POSITIVE MOMENTUM: ROC at 9.93% - price is moderately higher than 12 days ago. Compare timeframes - 9-day: 13.72%, 25-day: 16.04%. Short-term momentum accelerating.
🎯

Ultimate Oscillator

Multi-timeframe momentum (7, 14, 28)

Neutral
61.7
UO Value (0-100)
0 (Oversold)305070100 (Overbought)
neutral
Zone
➡️ flat
Trend
50%
Signal Strength
None
Divergence
Timeframe Contributions (Weighted: 4-2-1)
7-Period
64%(×4)
14-Period
61%(×2)
28-Period
55%(×1)
Today's Buying Pressure
$2.39
Close - min(Low, Prev Close)
Today's True Range
$2.91
max(H,PC) - min(L,PC)
💡
Neutral Zone: UO at 62 is in the neutral zone (30-70). Wait for a move into extreme zones (below 30 or above 70) for clearer signals. The multi-timeframe approach reduces false signals.
📊

Keltner Channels

ATR-based volatility bands

Buy
Lower: $105.60Middle (EMA): $112.07Upper: $118.54
Oversold
Overbought
$122.14
Above Upper128% of channel
Channel Width
11.5%
ATR (10)
$3.23
2.6% of price
Trend
Strong Uptrend
Signal Strength
70%
Channel Levels
Upper Band$118.54-2.9% away
Middle (EMA 20)$112.07+9.0%
Lower Band$105.6013.5% away
🤖 Trading Insight

📈 EXTENDED ABOVE CHANNEL: Price 122.14 is riding above the upper band (118.54). Strong trend - price can stay extended. Consider trailing stops rather than fading.

📊

TTM Squeeze

John Carter's Volatility Breakout

Neutral
NO SQUEEZE
Bands expanded - no compression detected
Signal Strength
50%
Momentum Oscillator
+3.01
Bearish0Bullish
↘️ FallingModerate Momentum
30-Day Squeeze History
30 days ago
Squeeze ON Squeeze OFF
Today
Bollinger Bands (20, 2)
Upper:$119.80
Lower:$102.90
Width:13.8%
Keltner Channels (20, 1.5)
Upper:$116.92
Lower:$107.23
Width:7.9%
Band Position (Squeeze Detection)
KCBB Outside KC → No SqueezeBB
🤖
AI Trading Insight

⚠️ NO SQUEEZE - MOMENTUM WEAKENING: No squeeze currently. Momentum is positive but falling (3.01) - bullish move may be exhausting. Watch for potential reversal or consolidation.

🐂🐻

Elder Ray (Bull/Bear Power)

Dr. Alexander Elder's Power Index

Sell
🐂 Bull PowerFalling
+8.72
High (122.66) - EMA (113.94)
🐻 Bear PowerRising
+6.50
Low (120.44) - EMA (113.94)
$113.94
13-Day EMA
📈 Uptrend
Price vs EMA
75%
Signal Strength
⚠️ Bearish Divergence Detected!
Price making higher highs while Bull Power falling - potential top forming
14-Day Bull/Bear Power History
2026-01-20Top=Bull, Bottom=Bear2026-02-06
🤖 Trading Insight

🔔 Bearish Divergence detected! Bull Power falling while price makes new highs - potential reversal signal.

Force Index

Dr. Alexander Elder's Volume-Price Momentum

Sell
⚡ 2-EMA (Short)Falling
+29.74M
Day Trading Signal
📊 13-EMA (Medium)Flat
+26.51M
Swing Trading Signal
23.94M
Raw Force
+2.00%
Price Δ
10.02M
Volume
70%
Strength
Volume vs Average:➡️ Normal
⚠️ Bearish Divergence Detected!
Price making higher highs while Force Index making lower highs - buying exhaustion
20-Day Force Index History
0
2026-01-09Bars=2-EMA, Line=13-EMA2026-02-06
🤖 Trading Insight

📉 Bearish Divergence detected! Price making higher highs but Force Index making lower highs - buying pressure weakening.

🐊

Williams Alligator

Trend Direction & Strength

Strong Buy
🍽️
Eating
Lines spread - Strong trend
Bullish
+3.13%
Total Spread
+2.030
Lips-Teeth
+1.320
Teeth-Jaw
🟢 Lips (5)
$110.35
Rising
🔴 Teeth (8)
$108.32
Flat
🔵 Jaw (13)
$107.00
Flat
Price vs AlligatorAbove
Price above all lines = Bullish momentum
Signal Strength85%
20-Day Alligator Chart
LipsTeethJawPrice
🤖 AI Insight

🍽️ Alligator is EATING - strong bullish trend in progress! Lines properly ordered (Lips 110.35 > Teeth 108.32 > Jaw 107.00). Spread at 3.13%. Ride the trend with trailing stops!

📊

Donchian Channels

Richard Donchian's Breakout System (20-period)

Buy
20-Day LowMiddle20-Day High
$106.03$114.35$122.66
Price Position: Near Upper (97%)
Current Price
$122.14
Channel Width
14.5%
Trend
Strong Uptrend
Signal Strength
65%
20-Day HighNEW!
$122.66
Today!
20-Day Low
$106.03
7 days ago
Channel Volatility:📈 Expanding
🤖 AI Insight

📈 Price at $122.14 is near the 20-day HIGH of $122.66. NEW HIGH TODAY! In an strong uptrend, this confirms strength. In sideways markets, watch for resistance.

🎯

Supertrend

ATR-Based Trend Following

Uptrend
Supertrend Level$103.52
Current Price$122.14
Distance+17.98%
Strong Buy
Price above Supertrend - trail stops below
Strong
Trend Strength
21d
Trend Duration
$3.23
ATR (10-day)
3×
ATR Multiplier
Volatility (ATR%)2.65%
Supertrend Slope Flat
Supertrend vs Price (Last 15 Days)
$111.67
$98.98
Supertrend (Up)Supertrend (Down)Price
Current Bands
Upper Band (Resistance)$113.20
Lower Band (Support)$103.52
Active: Lower Band as support at $103.52
Signal Strength
Weak75%Strong
💡

📈 UPTREND active for 21 days. Price $122.14 is 18.0% above Supertrend $103.52. Strong trend strength. The Supertrend line serves as trailing support - consider taking partial profits.

🌊

Choppiness Index

Trend vs Range Detection (14-period)

Buy
📈
Trending(1 days)
Trend Following
📈 Trending⏳ Transitional📊 Choppy
37
0-38.238.2-61.861.8-100
Choppiness Index
36.5-0.2 ➡️
Trending
14-Day Price Range
13.6%
$106.03 - $122.66
ATR (14)
$3.11
Trend
Flat ➡️
Signal Strength
65%
🤖

📈 TRENDING MARKET (CHOP: 36.5). The market is in a clear trend with low choppiness. Choppiness is stable. Trading advice: Use TREND FOLLOWING strategies (moving average crossovers, breakouts, momentum). Avoid mean reversion or ranging strategies.

⚖️

Valuation Metrics

Relative value indicators

📊 Comparables
16.0x
P/E
Fair
5.88x
P/B
Premium
4.75x
P/S
Growth
11.9x
EV/EBITDA
Fair
5.11x
EV/Rev
Premium
0.96
PEG
Undervalued
Enterprise Value$328B

💡 PEG < 1 suggests undervalued relative to growth • EV/EBITDA accounts for debt

📅

Historical Returns

Price performance across timeframes

📊 Performance
1W
+10.8%
1 Week
1M
+12.5%
1 Month
3M
+41.6%
3 Months
6M
+52.6%
6 Months
YTD
+14.7%
Year to Date
1Y
+38.7%
1 Year
1W
+10.8%
1M
+12.5%
3M
+41.6%
6M
+52.6%
YTD
+14.7%
1Y
+38.7%
Best Period6 Months: +52.6%
Worst Period1 Week: 10.8%

📈 Insight: Strong recent momentum with positive year-to-date performance. Consider trailing stop to protect gains.

📅

Seasonality Analysis

📊

Market Comparison

Performance vs S&P 500

📈 Alpha
🚀 Beating Market
vs S&P 500
+23.8%
Avg Alpha
6/6
Periods Beating
+43.8%
Best (6M)
1 Week+10.7% alpha
MRK+10.8%
S&P 500+0.0%
1 Month+12.1% alpha
MRK+12.5%
S&P 500+0.4%
3 Months+38.4% alpha
MRK+41.6%
S&P 500+3.1%
6 Months+43.8% alpha
MRK+52.6%
S&P 500+8.8%
💡
MRK has outperformed the S&P 500 by an average of +23.8% across measured periods. Strong relative performance suggests market leadership.
💰

Dividend History

Past payments & growth

Quarterly
$3.28
TTM Dividend
+5.9%
5Y CAGR
5 yrs
Pay Streak
20
Payments (5Y)
Payment History
OldestMost Recent →
Ex-DateAmount
Dec 15, 2025Latest$0.8500
Sep 15, 2025$0.8100
Jun 16, 2025$0.8100
Mar 17, 2025$0.8100
Dec 16, 2024$0.8100
Sep 16, 2024$0.7700
Jun 17, 2024$0.7700
Mar 14, 2024$0.7700
💡 Dividend Insight
Pays dividends quarterly. TTM yield based on $3.28/share annually.
📊

Growth Metrics

Year-over-year performance

YoY Growth
+1.0%
Revenue
+16.0%
Earnings
+16.6%
EPS
+5.8%
Book Value

Growth rates calculated from trailing twelve months vs prior period

📈

Analyst EPS Estimates

Consensus earnings projections

3-Year Outlook
$5.15
FY26
-32%
$10.03
FY27
+95%
$11.44
FY28
+14%
Fiscal YearEst. EPSYoY Growth
FY26$5.15-32.4%
FY27$10.03+94.8%
FY28$11.44+14.1%

Based on analyst consensus estimates. Actual results may vary.

👔

Insider Activity

➡️ Neutral
DateInsiderTypeSharesValue
Invalid Date
Unknown
SELL0$0K
Invalid Date
Unknown
SELL0$0K
Invalid Date
Unknown
SELL0$0K
Invalid Date
Unknown
SELL0$0K
Invalid Date
Unknown
SELL0$0K

💪 Strengths

  • Healthy profit margins (29.6%)

🚀 Opportunities

  • Market conditions could present buying opportunities

⚠️ Weaknesses

  • !No significant weaknesses identified

🛑 Threats

  • Broader market volatility remains a risk

Catalysts

  • Earnings releases and guidance updates

⚠️ Key Risks

  • !Standard market and sector risks apply
🤖

Are you an AI agent?

Help improve this research! Submit corrections, updates, or suggestions via Moltbook.

Submit on Moltbook
🤖

AI Agent Feedback

Are you an AI agent? Help improve this analysis!

Moltbook